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12/11/2012

SNOOZE & CRUISE TILL SUNDAY

THE OVERALL SCENARIO FOR OUR WEATHER HERE DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMINGWEEKEND BASICALLY LOOKS THE SAME TODAY AS IT DID YESTERDAY. THE COLD FRONT THAT CAUSED A BIT OF RAIN HEREAND PUT AN END TO OUR SPELL OF MILD WEATHER IS NOW OFF THE EAST COAST. THAT FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS TEMPORARILY STALLED OUT OFFSHORE, AND A WEAK SURFACE WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG IT EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS. A HEALTHY UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE NOW MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT TOMORROW, CAUSING ANOTHER WAVE TO FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY NOT TOO FAR OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE U.S. THAT FEATURE WILL THEN RUN NORTHEASTWARD LATE TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT, STAYING OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC. ALTHOUGH WAVE #1 AND WAVE #2 WILL HAVE NO MAJOR BEARING ON WEATHER HERE AS FAR AS PRECIP IS CONCERNED, THEY WILL PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS AT TIMES. DURING TOMORROW, THE MODEL SOUNDINGS HAVE BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT IN SHOWING SOME HIGH CLOUDS AROUND HERE. IF THE CIRRUS DECK IS THICK ENOUGH, THEN THAT MAY TEND TO HOLD TEMPS DOWN BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES. OTHERWISE, WE EXPECT A PARTLY CLOUDY, COLDER NIGHT COMING UP TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A DRY, TRANQUIL, AND SEASONABLY CHILLY DAY TOMORROW.

WITH THE SECOND WAVE HEADING FARTHER OUT TO SEA LATER TOMORROW NIGHT, SKIES WILL TURN OUT CLEAR. TEMPS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL BE ABOUT AS COLD AS TONIGHT, IF NOT A BIT LOWER.

BY THURSDAY, WE EXPECT A GOOD SIZED HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BUILD INTO PA, AND THEN SLOWLY SINK SOUTHEASTWARD THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE A STRETCH OF GORGEOUS WEATHER ACROSS OUR REGION, ESPECIALLY FOR MID-DECEMBER STANDARDS. BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL FEATURE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS. TEMPS ON THURSDAY WILL STILL BE A LITTLE ON THE CHILLY SIDE AND PROBABLY NOT MUCH DIFFERENT FROM TOMORROW'S READINGS. THEN, WITH THE HIGH SINKING A BIT FARTHER SOUTHWARD ON FRIDAY, OUR FLOW WILL TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. THAT COMBINED WITH A BIT WARMER TEMPS ALOFT WILL LEAD TO SLIGHTLY MILDER AFTERNOON READINGS.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND, SATURDAY STILL LOOKS PRETTY DECENT WEATHER WISE. WE COULD BE DEALING WITH SOME CLOUDS BY SATURDAY, BUT DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE, AND TEMPS WILL REMAIN ON THE MILD SIDE OF NORMAL.

ALL INDICATIONS ARE NOW THAT THE WEATHER WILL TURN NASTIER FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND LIKELY INTO MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. IT IS OBVIOUSLY WAY TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT DETAILS FOR THAT NEXT STORM. HOWEVER, IT MAY BE A SITUATION WHERE A PRIMARY LOW TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD ONLY SO FAR INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION BEFORE A TRIPLE POINT OR SECONDARY LOW TAKES OVER SOMEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST. IF THAT WERE TO HAPPEN, THEN MILD AIR WILL BE CUT OFF AT THE PASS NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF A CERTAIN POINT. THAT COULD LEAD TO SOME WINTRY FORMS OF PRECIP FROM PARTS OF NY STATE INTO NEW ENGLAND. EVEN FARTHER SOUTH, SOME FRONT END AND BACK END MIXING MAY OCCUR. OF COURSE, IF YOU GO FAR ENOUGH SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THEN IT IS GOING TO BLOW TORCH FOR AWHILE. FORTUNATELY, WE HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO FINE TUNE THE DETAILS OF THAT NEXT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT HERE.

Posted by Lee Goldberg on December 11, 2012 | Permalink

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