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11/01/2011

NICE START TO NOVEMBER

WELCOME TO NOVEMBER! NO SUN, NO SHINE, NO BIRDS, NO BEES, NO FLOWERS, NO LEAVES, NO-VEMBER! THAT DESCRIPTION WILL LIKELY BE VERY FITTING FOR NOVEMBER AS A WHOLE. HOWEVER, THE MONTH ACTUALLY STARTED OUT ON A BRIGHT AND BEAUTIFUL NOTE TODAY.

MORE NICE WEATHER IS ON THE WAY THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. IN FACT, WHEN YOU COMPARE THE WEATHER THAT WE JUST HAD TO ENDURE THIS PAST WEEKEND, AND WHAT IT CAN BE LIKE AT THIS TIME OF YEAR, WE ARE IN FOR A REAL TREAT HERE FOR THIS FIRST WEEK OF NOVEMBER. IN ALL LIKELIHOOD, WE WILL NOT HAVE A DROP OF RAIN, OR ANY OTHER FORM OF PRECIP, THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

THE STORM THAT GRAZED THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST LATE LAST NIGHT AND EARLIER TODAY WITH CLOUDS, GUSTY WINDS, AND AT LEAST SOME RADAR ECHOES, IS NOW VERY WELL DEFINED OFFSHORE. THAT SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO HEAD OUT TO SEA IN THE NEAR FUTURE. BEHIND THAT FEATURE, HEIGHTS WILL BUILD TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, PRETTY MUCH LOCKING IN THE ELONGATED AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NOW EXTENDING FROM THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SOUTHWESTWARD TO GEORGIA. THE RESULT WILL BE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WITH A BIG RANGE IN LOW TEMPS ACROSS THE AREA.

TOMORROW WILL FEATURE BRIGHT SUNSHINE, CONTINUED LIGHT WINDS, AND A PLEASANT AFTERNOON. THE ONLY POSSIBLE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING, MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CITY.

THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER COMFORTABLE DAY WITH SUNSHINE AND SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS. ALL OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW PRETTY MUCH ON BOARD WITH THE SAME SOLUTION LATE THIS WEEK. IT APPEARS THAT THE HEALTHY CLOSED LOW ROLLING EASTWARD FROM THE MIDWEST WILL BE FORCED TO TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER TIME, IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEASTERN STATES. AS THAT HAPPENS, THE MOISTURE SHIELD WITH THAT LOW WILL SLIDE BY HARMLESSLY TO OUR SOUTH, EVENTUALLY EXITING THE CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VA COAST BY LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY EVENING. SO, WITH THAT IN MIND, WE ENDED UP CHOPPING THE POSSIBLE SHOWER OUT OF OUR FORECAST FOR FRIDAY, AND WE NOW HAVE IT BONE DRY. THERE WILL BE A NORTHERN BRANCH SHORTWAVE AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE FLOW LATE THIS WEEK. THAT WILL LEAD TO SOME CLOUDS FOR A TIME HERE, WITH THE "CLOUDIEST" PERIOD BEING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, OUR SKIES COULD ACTUALLY BE TURNING OUT MOSTLY SUNNY. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEIGHTS GETTING BEAT DOWN LATE THIS WEEK, WE WILL GO INTO ANOTHER EPISODE OF RISING HEIGHTS THIS WEEKEND. AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS, WE'LL ALSO SEE THE RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF A SURFACE HIGH IN THE EAST.

AS FOR TEMPS, WE DO FEEL THAT THERE WILL BE DECENT COOLING BEHIND FRIDAY'S COLD FRONT. SO, WE HAD TO ADJUST READINGS DOWNWARD SOMEWHAT FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. EVEN SO, THE MAIN THRUST OF THE CHILLY AIR WILL BE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN CANADA. THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT SATURDAY WILL BE COOL, DESPITE BRIGHT, SUNNY SKIES, THEN SUNDAY WILL TURN A BIT MILDER. HOWEVER, EVEN ON SUNDAY, WE HAVE TO BE CAREFUL NOT TO OVERDO TEMPS, GIVEN THE VERY  STABLE LOOK TO THE ATMOSPHERE THAT DAY. IN SUMMARY...ENJOY, ENJOY THIS SNOOZE AND CRUISE WEATHER PATTERN!

Posted by Lee Goldberg on November 1, 2011 | Permalink

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