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Warm, Humid, August Weather Contunues with the Threat of Thunderstorms!

A Big Cool Down is Coming Sunday!

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04/26/2012

Sunny, Cool Start to this Thursday, but Rain is on the Way for NYC!

Umbrellas for later today, chilly gusty winds return to NYC tomorrow to start the weekend!

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04/24/2012

Grab the Jacket, Grab the Umbrella, More Cool Breezy Weather on the Way!

 

Same weather pattern should last until Thursday!

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04/13/2012

Get Ready Folks in the NYC Area! Four Great Days of Weaher that is Sunny & Warmer!

Each day gets warmer rising to 83 degrees by Monday! Great Weather for Yankees Openning Day!

Good morning!

After yet another cool night last night with a few showers around, we will see a

moderating trend commence today. This is thanks to a large, sluggish, stubborn to move quickly

ridge of high pressure in the atmosphere. Over the past few days, we had seen the ridge axis to

our west, which led to northwest flow at the surface and very chilly air aloft. This allowed some

self destructing sunshine in the morning, destabilizes the atmosphere and caused more clouds

and showers in the PM as compared to the AM. Anyways, the ridge axis is centered very close

to the area today. This will lead to warming as there is a good amount of sunshine over the area

and this strong April sunshine continues to warm up this dry airmass in place. Winds will be light

so it will feel nice out. This pattern continues tonight and it will be several degrees warmer as

well. As the ridge axis shifts to our east this weekend, we will see the wind to shift to

southwest. This will allow for a dramatic warmup to much above average levels. With this

ridging in place across the East, all the active weather will be over the Rockies and will

eventually translate into the Plains. As it does so, it runs into the ridge. This energy can not

barge full bore into the ridge, so it has to go around it. Thus, we will see some moisture stream

eastward along a boundary that separates the cooler, drier airmass that had been in place to

much warmer and a bit more humid airmass that has been found over the Mississippi valley. We

should stay on the warm side of this boundary, but it looks like it is close enough to the area that

some of the moisture traveling along it may affect the region Saturday night. We may see some

rain or even a rumble of thunder along with mild temperatures.The front may try to struggle back

down across the area as a backdoor cold front Saturday night and Sunday morning. It does not

look to stick around long before it is forced back north as a warm front during the day Sunday as

the surface low approaches from the west. We then think it stays to our north throughout the

forecast period of Sunday through Tuesday and thus we stay on the warm and dry side of things.

A weakening cold front may affect the region with some rain or thunderstorms Tuesday night or

Wednesday. The GFS rushes this front offshore and thus is dry on Wednesday while the Euro has

a wave develop along the front and keeps precip across the forecast area Wednesday.

Something to watch but it is way out there.The risk with this forecast is this backdoor front.

Large errors in both temperatures and the general feel for the weather are at risk here. If the front

never gets close or south of the area, we will be warm and will see more in the way of sunshine

on Sunday through Tuesday. It all depends on the strength and the placement of the high

pressure that is going to be to our north. The stronger and further south it is, the more likely the

front gets close to the area and we get cool. The weaker/further to the north, the more likely we

stay on the warm side of things. That is the solution that we are favoring right now and basically

of the model data supports this solution. Go warm. We may be able to surpass the very warm

temperatures that we saw about a month ago. With things being so dry and rather breezy, there

is a high fire danger.

Have a great weekend!

04/12/2012

Cool Sunshine for the NYC Area Today! Much Warmer Weather on the Way!

Temperatures reach into the 70s on Saturday and into next week!

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04/11/2012

Cloudy, Cool, A Few Showers, Drops the Fire Threat Around NYC Today!

Sun Returns Thursday and We May Hit 78 on Sunday!

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04/09/2012

Very Windy Across NYC Today! Warmer Than Normal Spring Temperatures too!

Cooler weather with showers are on the way for Tuesday and Wednesday. Great Weather for Yankees Home Opener Friday!

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04/06/2012

Great Spring Weather Around NYC for Passover & Easter!

Sunny with Temperatures Above Normal This Weekend!

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04/05/2012

Great Spring Weather Right Through the Passover & Easter Weekend!

Sunny and Cool Nice Spring Weather Last Until Monday!

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03/26/2012

It's Now More Like March rather Than June for NYC!

Cooler & Windy Today with A Hard Freeze Tonight!

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