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10/25/2012

The Weather Improves Today! Sunshine Returns This Afternoon!

A Couple of Days of Quite Weather to Get Us Prepped for Hurricane Sandy!

Today: Morning Clouds, Fog, Drizzle with Sunny Breaks by Afternoon  High: 65 

Tonight: Cloudy with Patchy Fog Overnight Low: 57

 Tomorrow: AM Clouds & Fog, then Sunny and Pleasant  High: 68

 

Good Morning,

 

Still a rather cloudy start to the day across the Tri-State Area... And, even though there

hasn't been very much in the way of rain during the past 12-24 hours, the prospects for seeing any

sunshine later today aren't looking very good... There will still be a light, easterly wind and clouds

may break in some areas south and west of the City this afternoon... But, I wouldn't promise much

in the way of brightening anywhere else... Also, the spotty shower activity and patchy fog will

persist for a while, but should end later on this morning... Most temperatures will be in the 60s

today...

 

Tonight, while there could be some breaks in the clouds early, there should be some fog

developing once again late tonight... Lows should be in the 50s... A warm front should finally be

able to push through the Tri-State Area early tonight before reaching northern New England early

tomorrow... Therefore, the ideas are still intact that high pressure tomorrow and on Saturday

should bring no less than partial sunshine and unseasonably warm afternoons... But, just 'how

warm it can get' in most places will be determined by just how much fog develops, and how long it

persists... Nonetheless, most temperatures across the region tomorrow and Saturday should

reach the upper 60s and the lower 70s...

 

"Sandy" has ramped up in its intensity quite a bit during the night, and it made landfall in Eastern

Cuba as a strong Category Two storm on the Saffir-Simpson Scale... Now, all eyes are on the

Bahamas as the storm continues to head to the north at around 13 mph... Even portions of South

Florida (the Atlantic Coast) may feel some of its effects during the next day or two... While that

storm is being watched closely, we're also going to be keeping up with a cold front... This strong

front, located in the Plains states early this morning, will be marching eastward during the next

48 hours and should reach the northern and central Appalachians by early Saturday morning...

This front is going to be slowed to some extent by the bubble of high pressure which will be

anchored just off the Northeast Coast for a while, but it will eventually bring an increase in clouds

later on Saturday or Saturday night, followed by the chance for a couple of showers... The

possibility of showers is something that has been added to Sunday's forecast, but these really

won't have anything to do with "Sandy" -- because it is projected to be located between the Outer

Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda on Sunday morning... But, it is important to remember that

there will be a fairly strong ridge of high pressure located in the North Atlantic late this weekend

and early next week... This 'blocking high' should be an important role-player in the future

movement of "Sandy"... Also, there'll be a strong upper level trough that will be digging into the

eastern third of the nation Sunday and Monday..

 

So, what we're trying to determine here when examining all of these forecast models, which still do offer a

wide-ranging series of solutions, is WHEN the intense low pressure system located out over the open

waters of the Atlantic will begin to retrograde? In other words, when will the interaction between these two

weather systems cause "Sandy" to begin to back up towards the East Coast? Also, WHERE will the center

of this massive low pressure system come crashing into the coastline, causing some fierce winds, torrential

rain, coastal flooding and beach erosion to occur...

 

The consensus amongst the various models would imply that late on Monday or Monday night, that very

intense low pressure system will track westward and come onshore somewhere between southern New

England and the Chesapeake Bay... This potentially devastating storm, which would probably impact the

region for a period of two or three days, will then unleash its fury on the East Coast, and it has yet to be

determined just how bad conditions will be in the Tri-State Area.

 

Have a great day!

Posted by WABC on October 25, 2012 | Permalink

Comments

Christie

Hi Bill,

I watch you every morning for your accurate weather report and in keeping with that, I just wanted to point out that The Bahamas is actually made up of over 700 islands and cays. I know my fellow Bahamians who are here for educational/work purposes or fully reside in NY would appreciate the correction.

Thanks for always reporting the weather as is. We can always count on you to get it right.

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