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05/17/2012

Gorgeous Weather on the Way to NYC for the Next Four Days!!!

Sunny, Dry, Pleasant Weather with temps in the 70s Warming to 80 This Weekend!

Good Morning,

A wind out of the north and rising barometers across the Tri-State Area are indicators early this

morning that drier air is starting to filter into the region behind the most recent cool front... And, while

there was some rain around prior to 7 a.m. yesterday, the vast majority of showers and thunderstorms

that erupted in the afternoon occurred well to the north and west of the City... Also, reports of hail and

strong wind gusts were confined mostly to upstate New York (generally near Albany and in the

Adirondacks), as well as in northern and western New England -- this matched up pretty well with the

zone that the S.P.C. identified in its "slight risk" category for severe weather...

So, we're still very optimistic about the weather around here over the next few days, with a good deal of

sunshine expected during each of the next three... Temperatuers this afternoon and again tomorrow

will be mostly in the lower and middle-70s... Then, as the core of a high pressure system settles

southward and eastward by the start of the upcoming weekend, surface winds here will have more of a

westerly or southwesterly component... This should allow for even warmer afternoons on both Saturday

and Sunday... Temperatures could crack the 80-degree mark as early as Saturday afternoon, especially

in those areas located away from the coast... However, the odds at this point do seem to favor that most

locations will be near or slightly above 80 on Sunday afternoon -- that is, as long as clouds associated

with winds having an easterly component (and a flow off of the Atlantic) don't spoil the party!!

While the warm-up is expected to carry us through this weekend, we still must be mindful of the fact that

there will be a low pressure forming along the mid-Atlantic Coast, about 250 or 300 miles south of the

City on Saturday and Saturday night... Whenever a ridge of high pressure builds into the Northeast and

it drives a sort of 'wedge' southward along the coast, there's a natural tendency for low pressure ---

whether it be an inverted trough, or a closed circulation, to develop in a position just offshore... In fact,

based on the output from last evening's run of the European global model, this form of guidance is

suggesting that there could be a couple of showers in the Tri-State Area by the time Sunday is

through... Conversely, the American version of the medium-range forecast model does not print out in

the City until Monday morning... These timing differences will hopefully get resolved during the next

day or two, but we should at least be emphasizing now that there'll be a tendency for the weather to

gradually deteriorate by early next week... And, even though temperatures on Monday and Tuesday may

still climb into the 70s, there will be a few opportunities to see a shower or thunderstorm...

Have a good day !!

Posted by WABC on May 17, 2012 | Permalink

Comments

Gina Smith

Hi Bill,

Queen of Peace High School in North Arlington, NJ is having their commencement on Saturday, June 2. There are lots of outdoor parties planned. Any way to tell if there'll be good weather from this early? Thanks,
Gina Smith

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