Bill Evans' Weather Chat

Warm, Humid, August Weather Contunues with the Threat of Thunderstorms!

A Big Cool Down is Coming Sunday!

Normal Weather for NYC?? Really! Sunny & 54 Degrees to Start the NYC Weekend!

Cooler, Rainy, on Saturday with Some SNow Possible Well to the North Saturday Morning!

Cool Spring Weather for Today and the Start of the Weekend for NYC!

 

A Few Showers Saturday and Sunny & Warmer Weather for Sunday!

Big Warm-Up on the Way to NYC! Temperatures 17 degrees warmer than yesterday!

Take the umbrella, a shower or rumble of thunder is possible at lunch time today!

Grab the Big Coat Today Around NYC!! A Cold Start to this Tuesday!

But! A Quick Warm-up is On the Way! A Few Showers Wednesday & Thursday.

It's Now More Like March rather Than June for NYC!

Cooler & Windy Today with A Hard Freeze Tonight!

You Need the Rain Gear Around NYC Today! A Great Weekend is on the Way!

Great Parade Weather Saturday and Great for the New York City 1/2 Marathon on Sunday!

You Knew It Couldn't Last Forever! Back to 50s today After 70s for two Around NYC!

 

The weekend shapes up to be warmer and sunny, especially Sunday.

Good Morning,

The winds during the night have managed to shift to the east and northeast, which has led to significant cooling...

Between 11 p.m. and 1 a.m. -- the temperature at LaGuardia Airport dropped from 58 to 46 degrees, and in Central Park, the

mercury fell from 60 to 50 in just an hour (between midnight and 1 a.m. EDT)... So, we're definitely looking at a COOLER

SCENARIO TODAY, but it now becomes a question of just how much cooler it will be... Obviously, the wind off of the relatively

cold waters of the Atlantic Ocean and Long Island Sound will result in temperatures no higher than the 40s on central and

eastern Long Island, as well as for portions of coastal Connecticut... The low cloud deck is something else we'll need to keep a

watchful eye on -- the high resolution version of the N.A.M./W.R.F. (which measures various parameters on 4-kilometer scale)

is indicating that this low cloud deck will be "backing into" the Tri-State Area from the north and east this morning, and then

these low clouds should begin to break from the City on west by around 9 or 10 a.m. -- but portions of Nassau and Suffolk

County will probably be "socked in" with low clouds all day, and there may even be a touch of drizzle... This is our rationale for

predicting temperatures no higher than the 40s in these places...

Our "back-door front" should manage to push as far south and west as Delaware and southeastern Pennsylvania this afternoon

before it stalls tonight and tomorrow morning... For this reason, we believe that some unseasonably warm air will still manage to

return to portions of the mid-Atlantic states this afternoon -- and it'll be within a couple of degrees of 80 in Baltimore and in

Washington, D.C. However, for all of New England, the Tri-State Area and down at the Jersey Shore, temperatures will

probably be no higher than the 40s or the 50s this afternoon...

We'll also be keeping an eye on the regional radar mosaic early today... There's a broken line of showers and thunderstorms

occurring as of this writing in central and western parts of the Ohio Valley, and it will attempt to move east of the Appalachians

later this morning / early this afternoon... Assuming this manages to "hold together" beyond 9 or 10 a.m. -- it could impact some

of the City's western suburbs before lunchtime...

Tonight and tomorrow, we can expect considerable cloudiness and a shower on a couple of occasions... While a rumble of

thunder cannot be ruled out across South Jersey tonight or tomorrow, the odds do seem to favor that the atmosphere will be

too cool and "too stable" to support much in the way of convection... So, it should be no higher than the mid-50s tomorrow

afternoon, and there may not be too much of a drop-off in temperatures tomorrow night... The numerical guidance is

suggesting lower-50s, which may be just fine... Then on Saturday, we're being "cautiously optimistic" about a milder weather

pattern resuming... The concern is that if the winds are still mostly out of the southeast, temperatures will have a tough time

surpassing 60 degrees... In fact, this seems most likely along the coast, and if there's a limited amount of sunshine, it also will be

difficult for it to be any milder/warmer than tomorrow... The guidance is going in 'two totally different directions at NYC, with the

N.A.M./W.R.F. projecting a high of 53, and the G.F.S. a much warmer 69 degrees --- so we'll have to at least mention that it may

fail to get out of the 50s again... However, Sunday's winds should be out of the southwest, and there should be a good deal of

sunshine... Temperatures on this day should be mostly in the mid and upper-60s before we see readings returning to the 70s.

 Have a great day!

The Last Week of Winter in NYC is Disguised at Mid Spring!

74 degrees yesterday, 70 today, and 70s next week! Wow! 

Take the Umbrella Today Around the NYC Area! A Few Showers Today!

But, it's VERY warm with highs today around 72! A Thunderstorm is also possible in this spring like weather pattern.

Springlike Weather This Week Around NYC! Temps 15-20 Degrees Above Normal!

Showers are possible tomorrow, but much of the week dry!