Sunny & Cool to Start the NYC Week of Weather! 50s to Return This Mild Winter!

60 Degrees to Start February! Temperatures cool down to end the week!

Good Morning,

** Climatology information gathered from LaGuardia Airport, due to power outage at Central Park location **

A cool front, driven by a pretty strong impulse of upper-level energy, pushed across the Northeast and the mid-Atlantic

states overnight... And, while this boundary managed to kick up a few heavy snow squalls in the Appalachians early last night,

these were reduced to nothing more than a few sprinkles and flurries by the time those radar echoes reached the coastal plain

after midnight... Actually the most that the bigger cities had (except for Baltimore and Washington, D.C.) consisted of

widespread cloud cover and a gusty wind... Winds that had been out of the southwest have mostly shifted to the west early this

morning, and will be mostly out of the northwest for the balance of today... Temperatures, for a change, will actually be pretty

close to normal this afternoon, mostly in the upper-30s and lower-40s... But there'll be yet another "bounce" occurring

tomorrow which will last through midweek, and no outbreaks of arctic air are expected for at least another week... Tonight, a

warm front will be spreading across the Great Lakes and into the Northeast's interior... While this front should be a catalyst for

some widely-seperated snow showers in New York and New England, areas located farther to the south probably won't see any

precipitation at all... Temperatures tomorrow will climb into the mid and upper-40s in most areas well inland from the coast, and

the lower-50s along the coastal plain... Ironically, this would 'wrap up' the month of January the same way it started, since most

locations were in the lower and middle-50s on New Year's Day... Also, any clouds early will break for at least some sunshine...

The next cool front, which will be located in the Great Lakes early Wednesday morning, should reach the coastal plain on

Wednesday night... Out ahead of this boundary, a strong southwesterly flow should bolster most temperatures well into the

50s on Wednesday afternoon... Actually, some places will crack the 60-degree barrier near the Mason-Dixon Line

(southeastern Pennsylvania and central/southern New Jersey should be included in this general area)... Even though there will

be plenty of clouds and perhaps a couple of rain showers around, it appears that the first day of February will also be the mildest

day of the upcoming week...

During midweek, we'll need to watch for the possible emergence of a new low pressure system in the Lower Mississippi Valley

or the Tennessee Valley... If this does manage to form on Wednesday or Wednesday night, its track may push it across the

mid-Atlantic states on Thursday... Determining the distribution of rain east of the Appalachians on Thursday is a very "iffy"

proposition at this point... However, those global models which do support a 'wet solution' seem to favor an area primarily from

Philadelphia and South Jersey southward into Virginia and the Carolinas... After Thursday, the details of the longer range

outlook gets even more 'sketchy'... While prior runs of the European medium-range forecast model were pushing a wave of low

pressure into the mid-Atlantic states for next weekend (one which would probably bring various precipitation types, including

snow), the 00z run has essentially "lost this feature"... The G.F.S. is still showing a ridge of high pressure located over New

England and in eastern Canada hanging tough through the first part of Sunday, but it breaks down later in the day... This would

then allow a swath of rain and snow to slide through the mid-Atlantic states and Northeast during the Super Bowl... But

confidence at this point in any kind of 'winter weather event' is low for next weekend, regardless of the timing...

Have a good day !!!