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09/28/2011

You Heed Your Rain Gear Today Around the Tri-State Area!

Spotty Rain and Thunderstorms Today, Heavier Rain and Thunderstorms for Tomorrow!

PA (where the Wilkes Barre/Scranton Airport is located) and BGM (Binghamton's Airpoty)

getting 2.07 and 2.40 inches of rain, respectively... As moisture-laden air continues to push from

south to north, the radar mosaic as of 4:05 a.m. was showing most showers occurring from the

City of Philadelphia on up the Delaware River into northwestern New Jersey... Meanwhile, the

most that the Five Boroughs has had since late last evening is just a spotty shower or some

drizzle... Fog, while probably not quite as widespread as recent mornings, is also going to be an

issue in the short term...

With an upper-level low pressure system still rotating over the Great Lakes region early today, a

series of fronts is still in the process of closing in on the mid-Atlantic Coast... The cool front

pushing into the area from the west will eventually stall, and as a weak wave of low pressure

develops near the junction of this cool front, a warm front and an occlusion, showers today and

tonight should evolve into a 'more widespread rain' along the I-95 corridor tomorrow... There

may even be a thunderstorm in a couple of spots over the next couple of days...

The global models continue to insist the the most widespread, and "steadiest" of the rain during

the next 36 hours will be occurring tomorrow... The quantitative rainfall totals being generated

by the 00z European model indicate that 1 to 1.5 inches will fall across much of the Tri-State

Area between today and early tomorrow night... The G.F.S. (American medium-range forecast

model) only prints out between 0.5 and 1.0 inches... However, isolated heavy downpours may

push a few totals up to 2 or 2.5 inches for the 36-hour period, which may cause localized

flooding...

On Friday, as the upper-level low pressure system continues to weaken and it opens up into a

simple trough in the winds of the jet stream over southeastern Canada, it'll manage to push a

second, much stronger cool front into the Eastern Region later on Friday and Friday night... As a

result, a couple more scattered showers could occur with the frontal passage late on Friday...

Then, as "October officially arrives" on Saturday morning, there will be a brisk, northwesterly

wind dragging noticeably cooler air into the Northeast and mid-Atlantic States... Winds on

Saturday could gust as high as 30 or 35 mph, and with plenty of clouds and highs only in the

lower or middle-60s, there may be a shower in one or two spots... Sunday, as we mentioned

yesterday, should offer much more in the way of sunshine, but it will still be cool with most

temperatures in the lower-60s...

Have a good day !!!

 

Good Morning,

We've been monitoring recent trends on the regional radar mosaic, and there will be a couple

of showers around early today that will be capable of producing a brief, but hard downpour...

Yesterday afternoon and early last night, rain in northeastern Pennsylvania and the Greater

Binghamton Area in upstate New York was heavy enough to cause flash flooding, with Avoca,

Posted by WABC on September 28, 2011 | Permalink

Comments

Burlington Weather

The development of the complex low pressure system over the Great Lakes for tomorrow is really going to make things tricky to actually pin-point rainfall totals. The GFS taking the S'rn low from Lake Ontario to NYC Friday night into Saturday seems a bit suspicious. However 500mb vorticity really goes bonkers by Saturday morning. It'll be interesting to see what turns out.

Rita

Hey Bill,
I hope you guys deeply consider making your forecast a 7-day event as all the other channels do. We would greatly appreciate it, as Eyewitness News is supposed to be #1!? This is my umpteenth time humbly requesting for it.

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