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10/22/2010

Big Chill for NYC Today!

BUT, a big warm-up for the weekend!

We have one heckuva chilly day ahead with temperatures stuck in the 50s and winds remaining

blustery through the day. Winds will be gusty, up to 35 mph, through the early afternoon with the

jet lining up better up until that time. Then it lifts northward and should decrease quickly into the

mid or late afternoon. There are a few showers around to the northwest of the area. A shower

will probably spritz one or two places on the outer edge of the listening area, but fall apart before

reaching the city locations.

Chilly weather will continue tonight, but nothing out of the ordinary and winds will have died off

by this time as well.

The cool-down will turn around quickly this weekend. Sunshine returns nicely Saturday with

temperatures climbing back into the 60s. And it will turn warmer still on Sunday. There is some

warm advection showers breaking out on some of the models, but largely we'll call this a dry

day. We may just need to mention a shower around early on Sunday, but this will be more likely

in the Hudson Valley.

Winds will continue on the southerly side into Monday and Tuesday and it will drag in some

garbage moisture that may cause a shower or two in the area. So we'll have a couple of showers

in the forecast, but it will probably behove us to say the forecast will be dry much of the time.

The GFS is the drier of the long range models, with the EURO and canadian models having

stronger waves of energy on Tuesday.

This lasts into Wednesday and perhaps Thursday, though this is where some of the longer range

models highly diverge in their solutions. The GFS attempts to push a cold front through

Wednesday then a wave develops along the boundary with another round of rain Thursday. The

EURO focuses energy in the Plains and keeps us in the warm sector through Thursday. The

Canadian model pushes a cold front through with a much drier colder airmass behind it. The

bottom line is that next week will have some unsettled weather about the area, but also some

uncertainty as to the timing.

Have a great weekend!!

Posted by WABC on October 22, 2010 | Permalink

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